‘Overbets’ by Sergeon

Many times you will have read that we must plan their hands so we try not to avoid it if possible Overbets (especially postflop). Understanding why this is important at a theoretical level, and helps a lot to think about all possible situations of poker (especially those in which bet to leave before a climb).

Each time you bet, and the more we concentrate, the equity to pay for a hypothetical re-raise all-in decreases. This is because the pot gets bigger and the money we pay small (and this is so even though we have only a blind bet.) Therefore, there will come a point where our bet is big enough and / or our stack is small enough to have to call with our hand, even if the overall situation is far too expensive for us. For example, as extreme hypothetical case, imagine that opened in the 85th D 60 blinds. If you push your opponent by 80 blind, we pay is mandatory. However, the overall situation is very costly for us. However, opening blinds 2.5, we can leave when we re-raise, and loose tables that rise will be profitable, as will further the fold, compared with 86th 3ET pay. This, we know, is completely obvious, but we can think of other more complicated situations.

The fact is that unless we Overbets, we can leave our worst hands to a raise, and indeed this is desirable, as it allows us to bluff with a wide range and discarding the worst opponents are bluffing when our strength. You can make a fairly extensive mathematical treatment of the relationship between the percentage of the pot bet and the amount of hands that leaves the opponent. Because of its complexity we prefer to ignore, but basically assuming a direct relationship between these two variables, the stakes will be close to the size of the pot, and more, just become more effective with increasing size. Therefore, in terms of Fold Equity, a bet of 1.2 times the boat is almost like a 1.7 times the pot. In contrast, among a half-pot bet the whole pot and is a much more significant difference.

Therefore, if our preflop ranges are very wide, will be much less likely to have a hand made postflop that we have it, so it is likely that our post-flop bets are a bluff. That is a reason to choose, as a rule, small-bet sizes, as our range of game should be very loose preflop, as is the current poker-.. Obviously there are exceptions: loaded boards, or hands made against fishes, preferred sizes medium or large bets, but as a rule, we should choose the smallest possible size with the same fold equity that a bigger bet, if we are bluffing, or allows us to get our stack in the pot on three bets, if we have a strong hand and want to play for stacks.

However, there are situations where we are forced to choose size of bets that are uncomfortable, from this point of view. This is going to happen especially in two cases: 1 – When we face some uncomfortable sized re-raise preflop. 2-When postflop, the pot size is between 1.3 and 1.8 times our stack more or less. Since in this case will make bets that are overbets-o function as overbets “, as the pot size, the stacks and the opponent bets simply force us to do so, should understand a little the nature of the Overbets to understand when not is a problem making one.

Playing with 100bb, if we go up to 2.5 or 3 bb preflop, it’s easy we face a re-raise of between 9 and 12 blind by the opponent. In this case, if we go all-in on his bet, he has a lot easier to obtain benefits: You can simply pay with their best hands, without worrying too much that you’re bluffing. In general, the larger are the stakes that they face in relation to the boat, hunting becomes less important lights, and less profitable they are. Therefore, if to a blind re-raise to 9, going all-in (we’re betting more than 10 times the size of the boat), we can almost bluff, because when you are betting a lot on the boat, our lanterns lose profitability. It is therefore logical that, if we are bluffing, and we should do in all game situations in which the opponent will throw a significant portion of its range to a bet, or almost always, “we have to choose a size smaller bet. The problem is that if reuploaded to 30 blind, our SMEs to pay for any all-in is 35%, almost every hand that we will have 4-bet is that success against a decent range of all-in by the opponent. Therefore, in practice, our commitment becomes a Overbet, since anyway when he goes all-in we pay our stack. In practice, for it is far better to go all-in us, as it increases our fold equity, the exception would make 4-Bet with a strong hand to induce a bluff push. In this case, the solution is to choose a smaller bet size: 19-22 blinds is a 4-Bet big enough to cause dropouts in the range of 3-Bet your opponent (ie, we can do as a lantern if it is profitable to do so), without fully bind us to the boat (and, therefore, does not work like a overbet). Many hands should leave, it is a problem of ranking rival, but it is clear that with a 40% PME hands as A2s should not pay an opponent’s push.

However, if the rival has been re-raise to 15 blind, the situation changes. Reup a blind 20 is impossible by the rules of the game, “and our minimum re-raise to 30 would be blind. Here, any minibet automatically links us to the boat until they do it with a trash hand, and therefore is like a push (and blind in a 30 meter boat with a bad hand against a normal range of three-Bet is something we should not ever). This obliges us to push on his re-raise of 15 blind-or make a 4-bet to 30 blind to go all-in always the same), if we go back up. While this may seem a problem, not exactly. If our original rise was a 2.5 blind, and our opponent reup to 15, is he who is doing the Overbet. If you 3-bet with a wide range, puts too much money with bad hands, and we can punish him with a proper push-range can be deduced mechanically from their range of call to push, according to the minimum equity required “if To avoid this, consciously or unconsciously, it is only with very strong hands, that’s good for us because our original has more% increase to steal the blinds (or see a flop, which is always a success compared to being forced to leave, while the cost is the same.) That is, if our opponents are overbets, that’s good for us-which, intuitively, we said that we should not do if we can help overbets.

Post flop, there are situations where we are performing betting sizes uncomfortable, if we’re playing with 20 blind and make a rise to 2.5 blindly out of the blinds, and you only pay us the big blind , we have an annoying size on the turn if the flop bet half pot, as we remain blind stack 15 with a jackpot of 11. If we bet half pot, we have a stack of 8 blind in a boat on the turn 22, which does not give us almost no fold equity, forcing us to pay almost anything bets in the hand. On the other hand, go all-in on the turn, is blind in a 15 meter boat 11, which as we have seen no function in terms of Fold Equity (pulls a similar amount of hands that blind bet 8 or 9 at least against players who are not fishes). Here there were two issues: one, if we choose a reasonable size of bet you do not leave us committed to the pot. 2 – If this is not possible, we must review the planning of hand.

Whenever we can make some reasonable bet (ie, having value or Fold Equity, a blind bet into a pot of 12 has none of both) that we are not committed to stop the boat, it is preferable to make a bet that it leaves us committed, if that second bet is a Overbet. Against an opponent fish, in fact, we should plan our hand so we can make a final bet on the river that is well proportioned. This means that, playing with 20 blind, if in
turn we will have to place a bet of 1.3 times the pot, or a similar size, it may be better to change our size bet on the flop to avoid passing it. One must understand that, once in that turn, almost always we are committed to wager half boat (we have to win one of five times), that means betting half pot with a questionable hand is a very bad situation, because we bit Fold Equity (our bet has almost lever, since there is very little money for the river), and face a re-raise the opponent is very uncomfortable for us. In addition, 14 blind bet into a pot of 13 is something that allows the opponent to leave enough hands and wait for favorable situations, without that you do much damage, given our size is very bad to bluff.

In this case, a little bet on the flop, go all-in on the turn provided with a bet, or bet a little less, in order to distribute our stack in three stakes, would be ideal. Avoiding doing any street overbets gain more leverage to our betting before the flop, we have provided a bet on the river (which consequently has Fold Equity) and avoid the opponent may leave many hands properly in any street (as our size force you to bet even more times if you bet the pot at some point in the hand).

In any case, the central idea is that if we Overbets, we put the opponent easy decision to abandon the dubious hands-and that is the natural tendency of most players on the river from certain levels .

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